Let's not forget UMD - who wouldn't want to pay double the price of a DVD to watch a teensy movie in the john? The way studios are backing out, not many of us.

Sony have delayed their very own player yet again, this time to December, due to those pesky "software issues." To me, this doesn't bode well for the BD performance of the upcoming PS3, due out before that.

The success of DVD can be traced to hardware ubiquity - in PS2s, Xbox, PCs, Macs, etc., and in all of them a compelling reason to have a player. While DVDs in PCs and laptops gave portability to watching movies, the upgrade to BD or HD-DVD in PCs won't break any barriers. Once people buy into a format, they're stuck with certain movie choices, PC choices, game system choices, etc. AND upgrade everywhere they use the discs. I'm betting we're looking at dodos here.
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--Greg