but IMO it's way too early to call a winner reliably.

When you reread your own posts you realize you might have emphasized something you did not intend.
I don’t particularly feel LCD is coming out on top…..only noticed in the quick surf that LCD and DLP appear to dominate newly released and scheduled products. But it seems almost as if all the major players are source-ing and producing at least one model representing each technology. Covering their bases to be ready to turn any direction?

The consumer can be fickle it will only take one company selling one technology like hotcakes, by reducing BOM costs and receiving a rash of public attention, for many of the others to immediately try to follow.
Philips is definitely putting some money into LCOS pushing their 'Engaze' technology.
GLV sounds interesting from your mentions here….I’ll be looking up what I can find on that next. Last night I focused on ‘on the shelf’ applications.

This is very interesting as regards some projections for the projection market!

“Midori Takaso of Techno Systems Research, Co (TSR) presented a more integrated view of the total market for all large-sized displays with the combination of all projection and flat panel presentation and entertainment displays growing from 5M in 2001 to 16M in 2005. While her forecast for enterprise front projection of 2.5M units was more in line with the DTC forecast, she presented a much more optimistic view of sales prospects for home entertainment projection systems. By 2005 TSR sees the potential for nearly 10 million microdisplay-based projection systems, about 80% of them front projectors.

Key to the TSR forecast is the $1,000 front projector, which will have the impact of dramatically expanding demand in the home to more than 5M systems. Coggshall agrees that a $1,000 consumer home front projector could sell, but the sales channel is unclear and installation problems remain big stumbling blocks.
Takaso sees HTPS remaining the dominant microdisplay technology with nearly 80% market share in 2005 with DLP capturing most of the balance. LCOS will hold a minor share. PMA sees DLP claiming a 42% market share by 2006, on the other hand.

Takaso also predicted that RPTV sales will peak in 2004 at nearly 4M sets and then decline, faced by stiff competition from front projection and flat panel televisions. Even at maturity, TSR predicts that more than half of RPTVs will still incorporate CRT, not microdisplay engines.
These market analyst were joined by Allen Alley, CEO of Pixelworks and the keynote addressee, and Peter Putman, President of ROAM consulting, a plasma display market and technology expert for a roundtable discussion and Q&A session. Putman stressed that plasma TVs are a competitive force because they meet consumers expectations of a television by supporting the CRT-based viewing paradigm. Most importantly, image quality continues to improve and he predicts we are about to enter a period of rapid price declines, forecasting prices in the range of $3,000 to $4,000 for 30 to 40-inch panels within the next year.

One issue raised by more than a few of the attendees was the wide variation in market forecasts. How could market experts see things so differently? Responses ranged from supply vs. demand perspectives, differences in pricing assumptions, and varying assessments of the competitive technologies. On the other hand, there was wide agreement on the promise of the education market and the importance of the home front projection opportunity."

Would that last spell OUTLAW getting into FP systems if the market does move closer towards 999. home systems?

As the market in the East is always one to watch for trends:
“Taiwan Kolin Co. is scheduled to start production of 50-inch reflective liquid-crystal-on-silicon televisions early next year, the first company in Taiwan to do so. The company displayed two prototypes with resolutions of 1,280 pixels x 720 pixels at a recent Taipei electronics exhibition. Company executives said that LCOS TVs would serve as the next generation and have low production costs and better images. At about half the price of plasma-display-panel TVs, LCOS TVs will target markets in the United States, Europe and China. The firm is optimistic that the TVs will help it regain the title as Taiwan's top TV maker”



[This message has been edited by Smart Little Lena (edited November 27, 2002).]